Betting
the 2nd Half in Football
When
people start gambling, most will stick to the basics, such as straight bets on
the point spread, total or to a lesser extent in football the moneyline. The
natural progression usually sees some parlays and a prop or two, but once
bettors get comfortable, first and second half bets become a norm.
For
this article we are going to focus on betting the 2nd half in
football, whether it’s the NFL
or NCAA,
the rules are the same. Just as the title says, a 2nd half bet is
entirely based on the outcome of the second half of a given game. When dealing
with a 2nd half line, everything from the 1st half is
completely wiped out, meaning spreads and totals from the first half do not
apply.
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For
example, the Falcons are playing the Eagles, and it’s 17-10 Falcons at the
half. Your online sportsbook sets the second half line at Eagles -3.5, and you
wager on the Eagles. The Falcons win the game 31-28. The second half boxscore
shows the Eagles scoring 18 and the Falcons 14, with the Eagles covering the
spread by half a point and you win.
Although
it may feel like halftime takes forever, there is only around 15 minutes
between the end of the 1st half and the 2nd half kickoff. This means
sportsbook oddsmakers have a lot of work
to do in a very short time frame. With how the National Football League’s
schedule is set up, often times, oddsmakers are forced to set several lines at
the same time and are susceptible to making mistakes.
Remember
though, it’s not just the oddsmakers that are up against the clock, bettors
have to be quick as well. Here in Costa Rica, guys are jumping up out of their
seat as soon as the first half ends, barking at their bookie to post the 2nd
half lines.
A lot of football fans and bettors alike think they know a lot about football,
and most likely have a storyline played out in the their head how the rest of
the game will play out. Use that to come up with your own 2nd half
line so you have something to compare the actual line to when you have very
limited time to research.
Something
else you can’t lose site of, is often time no two halves are alike. Bill
Belichick is famous for going in at the half, making the proper adjustments on
both sides of the ball that ultimately end up being the difference. Don’t wear
blinders and get caught focusing on the wrong things. There is a lot to take
into account. However, when used correctly, betting the second half represents
a unique opportunity for bettors.
There
is information available to help give you an advantage. Simply looking at NFL
team 2nd half points per game can give an indication to how a team
finishes. The Seahawks led the league in second half points in 2017 with 15.1,
followed by the Eagles and Saints at 14.3, with the Lions (13.8) and the
Jaguars (13.0) rounding out the top five. Maybe just as important are teams
that don’t finish, like the Giants (6.6 points/2nd half), the
Bengals and Colts (7.0).
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There
is a lot to take into account when betting the second half, but one opportunity
it creates for bettors is middling. Middling is basically wagering on both
sides of the game where you have a chance to win both sides. It’s also used to
“hedge” a bet and minimize risk. Middling is not for beginner gamblers, but
when used correctly with the proper information and lines available, can be a
way to cash more tickets.
Betting
the second half in football is beneficial in several ways, but be sure you are
not just on tilt from a bad beat earlier and are chasing your tail, trying to
win back your losses. Be sure to use a budget system, using money you have
accounted for. While there are plenty opportunities to profit betting the 2nd
half, the same can be said for opportunities to lose.
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Do
a little homework before the game if you plan on betting or during the
two-minute warning do some quick research at some predetermined websites, and
find a soft line or two that are posted for the 2nd half and sit
back and enjoy the rest of the game.